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Oxford Economic Papers 2003; 55:148-172
Copyright © 2003 Oxford Universty Press


Article

On the cyclicality of schooling: theory and evidence

Harris Dellas and Plutarchos Sakellaris

Department of Economics, University of Bern, Gesellschaftsstrasse 49, CH–3012 Bern, Switzerland, CEPR and IMOP; harris.dellas{at}vwi.unibe.ch
University of Maryland, Athens University of Economics and Business, and IMOP

Abstract

Economic theory indicates that opportunity- cost considerations tend to make schooling countercyclical whereas ability-to-pay considerations have the opposite effect. We examine the college enrollment decisions of individuals in the US using the Current Population Survey and find that their propensity to enroll is countercyclical. There seems to be significant substitution during the business cycle between human capital investment and competing economic activities.


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