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Oxford Economic Papers 2003; 55:148-172
Copyright © 2003 Oxford Universty Press
Article |
On the cyclicality of schooling: theory and evidence
Department of Economics, University of Bern, Gesellschaftsstrasse 49, CH3012 Bern, Switzerland, CEPR and IMOP; harris.dellas{at}vwi.unibe.ch
University of Maryland, Athens University of Economics and Business, and IMOP
Abstract
Economic theory indicates that opportunity- cost considerations tend to make schooling countercyclical whereas ability-to-pay considerations have the opposite effect. We examine the college enrollment decisions of individuals in the US using the Current Population Survey and find that their propensity to enroll is countercyclical. There seems to be significant substitution during the business cycle between human capital investment and competing economic activities.
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