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Oxford Economic Papers Advance Access originally published online on July 30, 2009
Oxford Economic Papers 2009 61(4):628-650; doi:10.1093/oep/gpp023
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© Oxford University Press 2009 All rights reserved

This article appears in the following Oxford Economic Papers issue: Symposium on Resource Rich Economies [View the issue table of contents]

Leader behaviour and the natural resource curse

Francesco Caselli* and Tom Cunningham{dagger}

*London School of Economics, National Bureau of Economic Research, and Centre for Economic Policy Research
{dagger}Center for Economic Performance, London School of Economics, London WC2A 2AE; e-mail: t.e.cunningham{at}lse.ac.uk

JEL classifications: O13, D72, Q32, Q34


   Abstract

We discuss political economy mechanisms which can explain the resource curse, in which an increase in the size of resource rents causes a decrease in the economy's; total value added. We identify a number of channels through which resource rents will alter the incentives of a political leader. Some of these induce greater investment by the leader in assets that favour growth (infrastructure, rule of law, etc.), others lead to a potentially catastrophic drop in such activities. As a result, the effect of resource abundance can be highly non-monotonic. We argue that it is critical to understand how resources affect the leader's ‘survival function’, i.e. the reduced-form probability of retaining power. We also briefly survey decentralized mechanisms, in which rents induce a reallocation of labour by private agents, crowding out productive activity more than proportionately. We argue that these mechanisms cannot be fully understood without simultaneously studying leader behaviour.


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